第76章 对火星轨道变化问题的最后解释(3/14)

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rsysteminduncanlissauer'spaper,buttheydecreasethemassofthesungraduallyintheirnumericalexperiments.thisisbecausetheyconsidertheeffectofpost-main-sequencesolarmasslossinthepaper.consequently,theyfoundthatthecrossingtime-scaleofplanetaryorbits,whichcanbeatypicalindicatoroftheinstabilitytime-scale,isquitesensitivetotherateofmassdecreaseofthesun.whenthemassofthesunisclosetoitspresentvalue,thejovianplanetsremainstableover1010yr,orperhapslonger.duncanlissaueralsoperformedfoursimilarexperimentsontheorbitalmotionofsevenplanets(venustoneptune),whichcoveraspanof~109yr.theirexperimentsonthesevenplanetsarenotyetcomprehensive,butitseemsthattheterrestrialplanetsalsoremainstableduringtheintegrationperiod,maintainingalmostregularoscillations.
    ontheotherhand,inhisaccuratesemi-analyticalsecularperturbationtheory(laskar1988),laskarfindsthatlargeandirregularvariationscanappearintheeccentricitiesandinclinationsoftheterrestrialplanets,especiallyofmercuryandmarsonatime-scaleofseveral109yr(laskar1996).theresultsoflaskar'ssecularperturbationtheoryshouldbeconfirmedandinvestigatedbyfullynumericalintegrations.
    inthispaperwepresentpreliminaryresultsofsixlong-termnumericalintegrationsonallnineplanetaryorbits,coveringaspanofseveral109yr,andoftwootherintegrationscoveringaspanof±5x1010yr.thetotalelapsedtimeforallintegrationsismorethan5yr,usingseveraldedicatedpcsandworkstations.oneofthefundamentalconclusionsofourlong-termintegrationsisthatsolarsystemplanetarymotionseemstobestableintermsofthehillstabilitymentionedabove,atleastoveratime-spanof±4gyr.actually,inournumericalintegrationsthesystemwasfarmorestablethanwhatisdefinedbythehillstabilitycriterion:notonlydidnocloseencounterhappenduringtheintegrationperiod,butalsoalltheplanetaryorbitalelementshavebeenconfinedinanarrowregionbothintimeandfrequencydomain,thoughplanetarymotionsarestochastic.sincethepurposeofthispaperistoexhibitandoverviewtheresultsofourlong-termnumericalintegrations,weshowtypicalexamplefiguresasevidenceoftheverylong-

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